Current Publication
IJCEM Current Publication

Short Term Load Forecasting using Stochastic and Self-Organizing Maps
S. Farook and NMG Kumar

Abstract
This paper concerns with forecasting short-term electricity load using self-organizing maps. Short term load forecasting has become more important for power producers and consumers to plan their resources and utilities strategically. Misjudgment of load may results in loss of revenue for both consumer and power produces. Knowing the load behavior in advance is an important aspect for power system planning, economic and reliable operation. In this paper, Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) was carried out using time series, stochastic method (ARIMA) and Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) technique to predict the future demand, where the historical demand and weather factors as inputs. These developed methods give load forecasting for 24 hours in advance. The proposed SOM method is implemented in MATLAB. The performance of the model has been tested with practical data from Ercot load, considering six days historical data with hourly resolution. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for hourly load demand forecasting is observed as 1.5% where as it is 3% and 6.5% with time series and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). This comparison clearly shows the effectiveness of the SOM model for STLF.
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Understanding the Moderating Role of Mode of Entry in the Relationship between Discriminatory Working Experience and Occupational Stress
S. Mangaiarkarasi, K. Lavanya Latha

Abstract
This study is an attempt to examine the influential relationship between discriminatory working experience and occupational Stress among women police in Tamil Nadu as well as moderating role of mode of entry in to the police department such as Direct recruitment or Compassionate ground between the relationship of discriminatory working experience and occupational stress. A survey method had been adopted in this study among women police from Tamil Nadu. A well structured questionnaire had been issued to 400 employees. The authors got 368 valid responses after the process of data cleaning for further data analysis and interpretation. Cronbach’s alpha score was calculated to measure the reliability of the scale. The alpha value showed higher internal consistency among the items listed in the measures. The SPSS, AMOS and Stat tool Package were used to analyse the gathered data. Structural Equation Modelling was used to analyse the relationships. This study clearly revealed that discriminatory working experience had significant impact on occupational stress among women police from Tamil Nadu and mode of entry was significantly playing the moderating role on the influential relationship between discriminatory working experience and occupational stress.
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An Empirical Analysis of Non-Performing Assets in Indian Banking Sector Compared with Macroeconomic Variables
Soheli Ghose, Devashish Lodha

Abstract
With the introduction of international norms for income recognition, asset classification and provisioning in the banking sector, managing NPAs has emerged as one of the major challenges facing Indian banks .Non-performing assets constitute a major portfolio of the Banks portfolio and hence are an inevitable burden on the banking industry. NPAs adversely affect the profitability, liquidity and solvency of the banks. This paper analyses the position and trend of NPAs in the Indian Banking scenario and the impact of macroeconomic variables on the Non Performing Assets over the years. The paper also analyses the various recovery channels that the bank has opted in the past. The data has been analysed using Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient, t- test, F-test, Regression analysis and trend analysis. Microsoft Excel’s Data Analysis Tool Pack has been used for the analysis. Through this study we infer that private banks and foreign banks have advantages in terms of their efficiencies in better credit management in containing the NPAs which indicates that bank privatization can lead to better management of default risk.
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Related Party Financial Statement Disclosures of Selected Indian Business Units: Scanning of Some Managerial Components
Sanjoy Kumar Roy, Mousumi Roy, Subrata Kar

Abstract
A short time ago, there were enormous number of corporate scams occurred around the world and in India, owing to existence of related party transactions (RPTs). Accordingly, AS 18, ‘Related Party Disclosures’, issued by the ICAI, came into effect compulsorily in respect of accounting periods commencing from 1-4-2004 (ICAI, 2018) in India to rheostat the malpractices instigating due to related party transactions. This study emphasizes on significant likelihood of some crucial related party transactions and to examine significant influence of some decisive related party transactions on net profit. The entire study is based on published annual report of all the companies in the Nifty Index (arbitrary cut-off date – 01. 04 2015) in respect of the years 2014, 2015, and 2016, where we have considered 09 sectors comprising of 46 companies. We have used statistical software package SPSS 17.0 version for the purpose of statistical measurement.
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Extent of Human Resource Disclosure in Annual Reports of Companies Listed on Indian Stock Exchange
Ahmed Hussain, Debansu Das

Abstract
The purpose of the study was to measure and analyse the extent of human resource information in corporate annual reports in India. For this purpose annual reports of 50 companies for year 2015-16 were examined. 50 sample companies were selected following simple random sampling from top 500 companies listed on Indian Stock Exchanges. Based on a disclosure checklist of 76 human resource information items and using an unweighted disclosure index, the study measures the extent of human resource disclosure both at the aggregate level as well as in respect of eight categories of human resource information. The result shows that the extent of overall human resource disclosures varies from 30% to 89%. Minimum disclosure score of 30% is very poor. But the maximum disclosure score of 89% is fairly high. However, it reveals that none of the sample companies has disclosed 100% information items of our disclosure checklist. Mean disclosure score of 54.64% indicates an inadequate average level of disclosure. The study reveals a wide variation in the extent of overall disclosure with range and standard deviation being 59% and 11.58% respectively. So far as disclosure in respect of different human resource information is concerned, mean disclosure score is the highest (63%) for ‘Information related to Human Resource Policy’ followed by disclosure score (62%) for ‘Financial Information on Human Resource’ and (56%) for ‘General Information about Human Resource’. The lowest mean disclosure score is 22% for ‘Occupational Hazards, Health and Safety Issues’. Maximum level of disclosure under different categories of human resource information varies from 80% to 100% while minimum level of disclosure under different categories varies from 0% to 30%. On analyses of research findings, the paper concludes that there exists scope for improvement of human resource reporting by Indian companies.
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Does Brand Personality Mediates the Effectiveness of the Relationship between Celebrity Endorsement and Purchase Intention
M. Naresh Babu, K. LavanyaLatha

Abstract
Celebrity endorsement strategy in marketing is not a new research field related to psychology of consumers and credibility source for communication. It has got its own roots found in the early seventies by early researchers in the field of psychology and management Study in Brand Personality is comparatively novel. Purchase intention of the consumers may fall on these two factors conventionally and be improvised further for better understanding of consumers attitude. This was the present study subject that mattered for research and in addition a new approachability has been followed by hoping that there will be mediating role of brand personality in the relationship between celebrity endorsement and purchase intention. A structured questionnaire was used as survey instrument for data collection form the sample that was selected based on simple random method of sampling and a rural background urban raised young consumers were sample unit. Hayes OLS mediation and moderation test using PROCESS macro was the test statistic to accomplish the set hypotheses. The research findings were confirmed that brand personality measured as sincerity, excitement, competence is the mediator between celebrity endorsement and purchase intention fully. Further, it concludes that purchase intention created through celebrity endorsement was due to positive perception about the value, quality and knowledge.
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